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Red54
71049.8
418821.1
873615.3
Blue61
164821.3
950015.0
34215.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4952203040607080905461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4188
#33
21.10.2
19.219.1
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End1.2
blue by 0.2
1648
#23
21.30.9
20.321.2
Auto7.7
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Second
8736
#43
15.30.2
15.615.4
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End0.5
red by 0.1
342
#47
15.20.9
11.812.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End1.4
Third
7104
#45
9.80.2
9.69.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End2.1
blue by 5.3
9500
#20
15.00.9
14.815.8
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed