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Red64
164821.3
745127.8
808016.1
Blue106
947712.6
177151.4
110227.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6510120408012014064106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.1
25.225.2
Auto12.2
Teleop14.6
End0.9
blue by 23.6
51.40.6
48.148.7
Auto22.3
Teleop23.9
End5.2
Second
1648
#23
21.30.1
21.221.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.6
End2.0
blue by 6.4
1102
#17
27.70.6
26.727.3
Auto7.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
Third
8080
#15
16.10.1
16.516.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
red by 3.4
9477
#32
12.60.6
12.312.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed64%Ensemble oddsEarned