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Red87
884917.2
348920.9
636627.8
Blue48
363523.6
682915.3
88657.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70480204060801001208748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.81.8
24.526.3
Auto9.9
Teleop16.5
End1.4
red by 4.1
3635
#27
23.60.2
22.022.1
Auto8.5
Teleop12.7
End2.5
Second
3489
#36
20.91.8
20.622.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.6
End0.7
red by 5.7
6829
#21
15.30.2
15.916.1
Auto7.3
Teleop6.0
End2.0
Third
8849
#10
17.21.8
15.517.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.1
End2.2
red by 9.3
8865
#39
7.90.2
7.98.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed