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Red51
450929.3
349015.9
926017.7
Blue29
513020.0
71049.8
445125.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746302040801001205129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4509
#13
29.31.0
29.528.5
Auto13.0
Teleop14.1
End2.2
red by 3.7
4451
#16
25.62.0
27.625.6
Auto10.9
Teleop12.2
End2.5
Second
9260
#41
17.71.0
19.618.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End1.3
blue by 2.3
5130
#35
20.02.0
21.319.4
Auto6.3
Teleop12.0
End1.7
Third
3490
#44
15.91.0
16.515.6
Auto9.0
Teleop5.7
End1.2
red by 6.1
7104
#45
9.82.0
9.47.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed