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Red95
411222.9
418821.1
168330.7
Blue74
349015.9
34335.1
873615.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8067501001509574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#12
30.70.1
28.828.9
Auto12.1
Teleop17.8
End0.7
blue by 4.4
343
#22
35.10.7
32.132.8
Auto9.8
Teleop19.7
End5.6
Second
4112
#31
22.90.1
23.423.5
Auto10.6
Teleop11.7
End0.7
red by 7.0
3490
#44
15.90.7
15.616.2
Auto9.0
Teleop5.7
End1.2
Third
4188
#33
21.10.1
18.919.1
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End1.2
red by 5.8
8736
#43
15.30.7
14.415.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed