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Red74
381512.1
692521.9
141428.9
Blue91
529320.5
128724.1
745127.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697740601001207491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.7
29.430.1
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 1.2
27.80.8
25.226.1
Auto12.2
Teleop14.6
End0.9
Second
6925
#29
21.90.7
21.221.9
Auto11.2
Teleop10.3
End0.4
blue by 2.1
24.10.8
23.524.4
Auto6.4
Teleop16.0
End1.7
Third
3815
#46
12.10.7
13.013.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End0.7
blue by 8.4
5293
#18
20.50.8
19.620.5
Auto8.3
Teleop11.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned