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Red80
948017.4
450929.3
510918.1
Blue39
34215.2
753815.2
682915.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71490204060801001201401608039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4509
#13
29.31.2
28.529.7
Auto13.0
Teleop14.1
End2.2
red by 14.1
6829
#21
15.30.5
15.815.3
Auto7.3
Teleop6.0
End2.0
Second
5109
#34
18.11.2
16.818.1
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End0.8
red by 2.8
7538
#42
15.20.5
15.515.0
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End1.4
Third
9480
#24
17.41.2
16.117.3
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End1.4
red by 2.2
342
#47
15.20.5
15.615.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed