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Red80
71049.8
174618.2
363523.6
Blue67
28122.2
857522.6
453325.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4681020601001208067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3635
#27
23.62.3
21.323.6
Auto8.5
Teleop12.7
End2.5
blue by 2.1
25.80.1
25.925.8
Auto10.1
Teleop13.0
End2.6
Second
1746
#40
18.22.3
16.819.1
Auto11.1
Teleop7.0
End0.1
blue by 4.4
8575
#14
22.60.1
21.020.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.1
End1.7
Third
7104
#45
9.82.3
7.59.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End2.1
blue by 12.4
281
#26
22.20.1
22.322.2
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed