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Red69
241523.6
952210.6
126135.6
Blue53
445125.6
348920.9
926017.7
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79720501001502002506953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#11
35.60.1
36.536.4
Auto13.3
Teleop21.3
End0.9
red by 9.9
4451
#16
25.60.9
25.424.5
Auto10.9
Teleop12.2
End2.5
Second
2415
#19
23.60.1
23.423.3
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End0.7
red by 2.6
3489
#36
20.90.9
22.321.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.6
End0.7
Third
9522
#48
10.60.1
10.710.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End1.8
blue by 7.1
9260
#41
17.70.9
18.617.7
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed