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Red85
692521.9
453325.8
110227.7
Blue111
450929.3
418821.1
634028.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8383758085909510010585111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#17
27.70.2
27.427.7
Auto7.3
Teleop17.9
End2.4
blue by 1.7
4509
#13
29.30.6
28.128.7
Auto13.0
Teleop14.1
End2.2
Second
25.80.2
25.525.8
Auto10.1
Teleop13.0
End2.6
blue by 2.3
28.10.6
26.927.5
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End0.9
Third
6925
#29
21.90.2
21.721.9
Auto11.2
Teleop10.3
End0.4
red by 0.8
4188
#33
21.10.6
19.920.5
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End1.2