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Red117
857522.6
177151.4
297446.3
Blue85
691929.7
445125.6
168330.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137855010015020011785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.40.0
50.650.6
Auto22.3
Teleop23.9
End5.2
red by 20.7
1683
#12
30.70.1
29.829.7
Auto12.1
Teleop17.8
End0.7
Second
46.30.0
45.545.5
Auto13.9
Teleop32.0
End0.4
red by 16.6
29.70.1
28.528.4
Auto9.6
Teleop19.4
End0.7
Third
8575
#14
22.60.0
21.821.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.1
End1.7
blue by 3.0
4451
#16
25.60.1
24.524.4
Auto10.9
Teleop12.2
End2.5