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Red108
126135.6
141428.9
529320.5
Blue102
34335.1
513020.0
636627.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959102004006008001,0001,2001,400108102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#11
35.60.5
35.836.3
Auto13.3
Teleop21.3
End0.9
red by 0.4
343
#22
35.10.3
35.235.4
Auto9.8
Teleop19.7
End5.6
Second
28.90.5
29.229.7
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 1.2
27.80.3
27.828.1
Auto9.9
Teleop16.5
End1.4
Third
5293
#18
20.50.5
20.821.3
Auto8.3
Teleop11.7
End0.5
red by 0.5
5130
#35
20.00.3
20.020.3
Auto6.3
Teleop12.0
End1.7