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Red114
168330.7
445125.6
691929.7
Blue107
450929.3
418821.1
634028.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9284204060100120140160114107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#12
30.70.7
29.730.4
Auto12.1
Teleop17.8
End0.7
red by 1.3
4509
#13
29.30.6
28.729.3
Auto13.0
Teleop14.1
End2.2
Second
29.70.7
28.429.1
Auto9.6
Teleop19.4
End0.7
red by 1.6
28.10.6
27.528.1
Auto9.7
Teleop17.5
End0.9
Third
4451
#16
25.60.7
24.425.1
Auto10.9
Teleop12.2
End2.5
red by 4.5
4188
#33
21.10.6
20.521.1
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End1.2