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Red10
17582.3
411215.5
47015.1
Blue17
60234.6
94808.6
753811.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342304060801001017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.52.7
11.68.9
Auto10.2
Teleop4.7
End0.6
red by 4.4
7538
#19
11.10.6
7.67.0
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End1.9
Second
4701
#22
5.12.7
8.45.7
Auto1.1
Teleop3.3
End0.8
blue by 3.5
8.60.6
7.26.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Third
1758
#27
2.32.7
9.66.8
Auto1.3
Teleop0.4
End0.6
blue by 2.3
6023
#21
4.60.6
7.36.7
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed