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Red27
634016.3
58286.5
68876.4
Blue4
56088.2
33443.6
90575.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332001030405060274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.30.2
16.015.8
Auto8.1
Teleop7.3
End0.9
red by 8.1
5608
#20
8.21.8
6.44.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End1.3
Second
5828
#15
6.50.2
6.36.1
Auto0.9
Teleop5.0
End0.6
red by 0.8
9057
#14
5.71.8
7.65.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.2
End0.3
Third
6887
#17
6.40.2
6.46.2
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End1.0
red by 2.7
3344
#33
3.61.8
5.94.1
Auto1.9
Teleop0.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed