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Red24
42404.0
80809.6
670513.3
Blue24
88666.7
69055.7
67126.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27280102040502424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6705
#11
13.3
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.7
red by 6.5
6712
#31
6.8
Auto3.9
Teleop1.5
End1.5
Second
8080
#12
9.6
Auto1.4
Teleop7.6
End0.6
red by 2.8
8866
#18
6.7
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End0.9
Third
4240
#30
4.0
Auto2.6
Teleop0.6
End0.7
blue by 1.7
6905
#16DQ
5.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed