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Red3
59008.5
8326.2
69444.7
Blue27
52196.1
174617.3
97705.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3538102030405060327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5900
#10
8.53.4
11.07.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.7
End1.1
blue by 8.8
17.30.7
17.016.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End0.0
Second
832
#24
6.23.4
11.78.3
Auto1.5
Teleop4.1
End0.7
red by 0.1
5219
#26
6.10.7
7.66.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End0.1
Third
6944
#32
4.73.4
9.35.8
Auto0.2
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 0.9
9770
#25
5.61.3
7.18.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed