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Red5
68876.4
87617.2
95005.2
Blue40
634016.3
670513.3
90575.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28400102050607080540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8761
#35
7.22.4
7.85.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.2
End1.0
blue by 9.2
16.30.6
14.915.5
Auto8.1
Teleop7.3
End0.9
Second
6887
#17
6.42.4
9.57.1
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End1.0
blue by 7.0
6705
#11
13.30.6
11.512.1
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.7
Third
9500
#23
5.28.3
15.06.8
Auto1.5
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 0.5
9057
#14
5.70.6
8.38.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed