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Red41
97705.6
745120.1
87617.2
Blue30
42404.0
40264.9
47015.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301501020405060704130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.5
15.216.7
Auto10.9
Teleop8.0
End1.3
red by 15.0
4701
#22
5.10.0
5.35.3
Auto1.1
Teleop3.3
End0.8
Second
8761
#35
7.21.5
3.85.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.2
End1.0
red by 2.3
4026
#34
4.90.0
7.17.1
Auto1.5
Teleop2.2
End1.2
Third
9770
#25
5.61.5
6.47.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End1.1
red by 1.6
4240
#30
4.00.0
2.62.6
Auto2.6
Teleop0.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed