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Red33
411215.5
33443.6
110219.6
Blue25
69444.7
75144.6
168317.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331701040506070803325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.6
14.915.5
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End0.6
red by 2.6
17.00.9
10.211.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.2
Second
15.50.6
10.010.6
Auto10.2
Teleop4.7
End0.6
red by 10.8
6944
#32
4.70.9
2.43.2
Auto0.2
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
3344
#33
3.60.6
2.73.3
Auto1.9
Teleop0.6
End1.1
blue by 1.0
7514
#29
4.60.9
4.55.4
Auto1.1
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed