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Red28
670513.3
59008.5
67126.8
Blue31
691921.6
56088.2
17582.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273501020405060702831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6705
#11
13.30.3
11.311.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.7
blue by 8.3
21.60.5
20.620.1
Auto7.1
Teleop13.0
End1.5
Second
5900
#10
8.50.3
7.47.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.7
End1.1
red by 0.3
5608
#20
8.20.5
4.94.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End1.3
Third
6712
#31
6.80.3
6.87.1
Auto3.9
Teleop1.5
End1.5
red by 4.5
1758
#27
2.30.5
5.04.5
Auto1.3
Teleop0.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed