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Red23
52196.1
95005.2
94808.6
Blue45
80809.6
68876.4
381512.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15290102040502345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.60.9
6.67.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End0.7
blue by 4.2
12.81.7
10.011.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
Second
5219
#26
6.10.9
4.25.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End0.1
blue by 3.5
8080
#12
9.61.7
8.19.8
Auto1.4
Teleop7.6
End0.6
Third
9500
#23
5.20.9
4.35.2
Auto1.5
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 1.1
6887
#17
6.41.7
6.48.1
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed