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Red18
69055.7
8326.2
88499.6
Blue32
634016.3
88666.7
60234.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143401020304050601832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8849
#13
9.60.3
5.76.1
Auto0.5
Teleop6.9
End2.2
blue by 6.7
16.30.2
14.514.7
Auto8.1
Teleop7.3
End0.9
Second
832
#24
6.20.3
5.96.3
Auto1.5
Teleop4.1
End0.7
blue by 0.5
8866
#18
6.70.2
8.99.1
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End0.9
Third
6905
#16
5.70.4
3.23.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End0.6
red by 1.1
6023
#21
4.60.2
4.95.1
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed