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Red14
47015.1
58286.5
88499.6
Blue37
691921.6
69444.7
80809.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16330102030405060701437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8849
#13
9.60.3
6.05.7
Auto0.5
Teleop6.9
End2.2
blue by 12.0
21.60.9
18.819.7
Auto7.1
Teleop13.0
End1.5
Second
5828
#15
6.50.3
5.65.3
Auto0.9
Teleop5.0
End0.6
blue by 3.1
8080
#12
9.61.0
7.78.7
Auto1.4
Teleop7.6
End0.6
Third
4701
#22
5.10.3
4.94.7
Auto1.1
Teleop3.3
End0.8
red by 0.5
6944
#32
4.70.9
1.72.6
Auto0.2
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed