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Red27
670513.3
75144.6
97705.6
Blue47
95827.6
745120.1
52196.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24280102040502747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6705
#11
13.30.5
11.511.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.7
blue by 6.8
20.11.6
15.016.7
Auto10.9
Teleop8.0
End1.3
Second
9770
#25
5.60.5
5.85.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End1.1
blue by 1.9
9582
#36DQ
7.61.6
5.67.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.4
End0.4
Third
7514
#29
4.60.5
4.84.3
Auto1.1
Teleop3.0
End0.5
blue by 1.5
5219
#26
6.11.6
4.46.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed