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Red49
8326.2
381512.8
168317.0
Blue16
75144.6
67126.8
68876.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37140102030506070804916

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.00.8
12.513.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.2
red by 10.2
6712
#31
6.80.1
5.95.8
Auto3.9
Teleop1.5
End1.5
Second
12.80.8
12.613.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
red by 6.5
6887
#17
6.40.1
6.96.8
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Third
832
#24
6.20.8
5.36.1
Auto1.5
Teleop4.1
End0.7
red by 1.6
7514
#29
4.60.1
2.32.2
Auto1.1
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed