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Red35
56088.2
411215.5
94808.6
Blue29
69055.7
97705.6
40264.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321302040506070803529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.50.3
11.712.0
Auto10.2
Teleop4.7
End0.6
red by 9.7
6905
#16
5.70.5
3.93.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End0.6
Second
8.60.3
8.18.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End0.7
red by 3.0
9770
#25
5.60.4
5.34.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End1.1
Third
5608
#20
8.20.3
6.77.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End1.3
red by 3.3
4026
#34
4.90.4
4.64.1
Auto1.5
Teleop2.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed