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Red51
40264.9
411215.5
691921.6
Blue15
381512.8
47015.1
110219.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424320305060705115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.9
17.017.9
Auto7.1
Teleop13.0
End1.5
red by 2.0
19.62.6
16.714.1
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End0.6
Second
15.50.9
10.811.6
Auto10.2
Teleop4.7
End0.6
red by 2.6
12.82.6
10.68.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
Third
4026
#34
4.90.9
10.511.4
Auto1.5
Teleop2.2
End1.2
blue by 0.3
4701
#22
5.12.6
11.08.4
Auto1.1
Teleop3.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed