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Red40
95005.2
634016.3
745120.1
Blue9
56088.2
52196.1
168317.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413001020506070409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.5
13.413.9
Auto10.9
Teleop8.0
End1.3
red by 3.1
17.02.6
12.810.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.2
Second
16.30.5
15.516.0
Auto8.1
Teleop7.3
End0.9
red by 8.1
5608
#20
8.22.6
9.16.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.1
End1.3
Third
9500
#23
5.20.5
6.87.2
Auto1.5
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 0.9
5219
#26
6.12.6
6.84.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed