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Red51
745120.1
753811.1
69055.7
Blue29
8326.2
691921.6
42404.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333401020405060705129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.7
17.919.6
Auto10.9
Teleop8.0
End1.3
blue by 1.5
21.60.1
20.420.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.0
End1.5
Second
7538
#19
11.11.7
8.410.1
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End1.9
red by 4.9
832
#24
6.20.1
6.16.0
Auto1.5
Teleop4.1
End0.7
Third
6905
#16
5.71.9
3.45.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End0.6
red by 1.7
4240
#30
4.00.1
3.93.8
Auto2.6
Teleop0.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed