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Red23
58286.5
33443.6
52196.1
Blue39
110219.6
87617.2
75144.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1629010204050602339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5828
#15
6.50.2
6.66.4
Auto0.9
Teleop5.0
End0.6
blue by 13.1
19.61.2
16.918.1
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End0.6
Second
5219
#26
6.10.2
6.15.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End0.1
blue by 1.0
8761
#35
7.21.2
5.46.6
Auto2.0
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Third
3344
#33
3.60.2
3.22.9
Auto1.9
Teleop0.6
End1.1
blue by 1.0
7514
#29
4.61.2
2.23.4
Auto1.1
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed