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Red25
69444.7
47015.1
60234.6
Blue31
95827.6
67126.8
381512.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1232020405060702531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4701
#22
5.10.4
4.34.7
Auto1.1
Teleop3.3
End0.8
blue by 7.7
12.80.3
12.713.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
Second
6944
#32
4.70.4
4.34.7
Auto0.2
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 2.9
9582
#36
7.60.3
7.27.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.4
End0.4
Third
6023
#21
4.60.4
4.54.9
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.1
blue by 2.2
6712
#31
6.80.4
6.56.8
Auto3.9
Teleop1.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed