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Red9
59008.5
40264.9
88666.7
Blue35
94808.6
745120.1
90575.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214106080935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5900
#10
8.50.9
9.18.2
Auto4.7
Teleop2.7
End1.1
blue by 11.7
20.10.3
19.619.3
Auto10.9
Teleop8.0
End1.3
Second
8866
#18
6.71.0
7.56.5
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End0.9
blue by 1.9
8.60.3
8.78.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Third
4026
#34
4.90.9
4.43.5
Auto1.5
Teleop2.2
End1.2
blue by 0.8
9057
#14
5.70.3
6.15.7
Auto3.3
Teleop2.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed