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Red47
95005.2
670513.3
691921.6
Blue14
33443.6
80809.6
75144.6
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions441302060804714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.8
20.321.1
Auto7.1
Teleop13.0
End1.5
red by 12.0
8080
#12
9.60.1
9.19.0
Auto1.4
Teleop7.6
End0.6
Second
6705
#11
13.30.9
12.813.7
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.7
red by 8.7
7514
#29
4.60.1
3.43.3
Auto1.1
Teleop3.0
End0.5
Third
9500
#23
5.20.8
2.83.6
Auto1.5
Teleop3.2
End0.5
red by 1.6
3344
#33
3.60.1
2.92.8
Auto1.9
Teleop0.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed