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Red29
52196.1
42404.0
634016.3
Blue57
69055.7
168317.0
58286.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26301020405060702957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.30.2
14.514.7
Auto8.1
Teleop7.3
End0.9
blue by 0.7
17.00.4
15.315.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.2
Second
5219
#26
6.10.2
5.96.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End0.1
blue by 0.4
5828
#15
6.50.4
6.46.8
Auto0.9
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Third
4240
#30
4.00.2
3.84.0
Auto2.6
Teleop0.6
End0.7
blue by 1.7
6905
#16
5.70.4
5.35.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned