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Red28
58286.5
670513.3
8326.2
Blue9
17582.3
60234.6
381512.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30220104050607080289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6705
#11
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.7
red by 0.5
12.80.3
13.112.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
Second
5828
#15
6.50.0
6.46.4
Auto0.9
Teleop5.0
End0.6
red by 1.8
6023
#21
4.60.3
4.94.6
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.1
Third
832
#24
6.20.0
6.26.2
Auto1.5
Teleop4.1
End0.7
red by 3.9
1758
#27
2.30.3
2.62.3
Auto1.3
Teleop0.4
End0.6