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Red56
33443.6
745120.1
110219.6
Blue62
411215.5
634016.3
95005.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473602060801005662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.3
19.519.8
Auto10.9
Teleop8.0
End1.3
red by 3.8
16.30.5
15.215.8
Auto8.1
Teleop7.3
End0.9
Second
19.60.3
19.019.3
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End0.6
red by 4.1
15.50.5
14.414.9
Auto10.2
Teleop4.7
End0.6
Third
3344
#33
3.60.3
3.03.4
Auto1.9
Teleop0.6
End1.1
blue by 1.6
9500
#23
5.20.5
4.14.6
Auto1.5
Teleop3.2
End0.5