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Red14
81006.2
450920.7
88150.9
Blue71
682913.2
590012.6
33444.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514002060801001201401471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4509
#18
20.72.0
29.327.3
Auto7.3
Teleop11.9
End1.5
red by 7.4
6829
#11
13.20.8
15.314.5
Auto6.9
Teleop5.0
End1.4
Second
8100
#28
6.22.0
8.76.7
Auto1.4
Teleop4.3
End0.6
blue by 6.3
5900
#22
12.60.8
15.614.8
Auto7.2
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Third
8815
#25
0.92.0
6.64.6
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.5
End0.7
blue by 3.5
3344
#36
4.40.8
6.96.1
Auto5.2
Teleop-1.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned