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Red33
141425.1
10020.1
164820.3
Blue16
457611.6
95224.3
41895.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6641020801001201403316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.11.7
30.829.1
Auto8.9
Teleop15.3
End0.9
red by 13.5
4576
#13
11.61.6
19.017.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.8
End1.3
Second
20.31.7
21.319.6
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End2.0
red by 14.4
4189
#26
5.91.6
10.18.5
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End1.5
Third
1002
#30
0.11.7
4.62.9
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.7
End0.5
blue by 4.2
9522
#23
4.31.6
10.69.0
Auto2.6
Teleop0.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed