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Red103
297443.0
418822.0
241519.1
Blue18
510914.3
99990.3
85773.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1153305010015020010318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.01.8
45.143.4
Auto14.1
Teleop27.7
End1.2
red by 28.7
5109
#15
14.30.9
17.716.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End0.5
Second
22.01.8
25.824.1
Auto6.1
Teleop15.8
End0.2
red by 18.9
8577
#21
3.10.9
6.85.9
Auto2.8
Teleop-0.2
End0.4
Third
2415
#12
19.11.8
23.621.8
Auto7.4
Teleop11.1
End0.6
red by 18.9
9999
#34
0.31.5
1.70.2
Auto0.9
Teleop-1.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed