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Red20
590012.6
99982.0
529315.4
Blue59
56083.4
126139.2
8324.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51612040801002059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5293
#17
15.41.4
20.519.1
Auto7.7
Teleop7.2
End0.5
blue by 23.8
39.20.3
40.239.8
Auto14.2
Teleop23.1
End2.0
Second
5900
#22
12.61.4
14.813.5
Auto7.2
Teleop4.3
End1.1
red by 8.3
832
#19
4.30.3
7.77.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.1
End0.3
Third
9998
#20
2.02.3
5.12.9
Auto0.2
Teleop1.4
End0.4
blue by 1.3
5608
#29
3.40.3
6.46.0
Auto2.0
Teleop0.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed