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Red52
241514.7
873614.3
69103.6
Blue27
947712.8
952211.4
529312.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32270102040506070805227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#11
14.70.4
9.19.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End0.8
red by 2.0
9477
#17
12.80.1
9.59.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End0.9
Second
14.30.2
13.413.7
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End0.4
red by 1.6
5293
#13
12.70.2
7.47.6
Auto6.1
Teleop6.2
End0.5
Third
6910
#26
3.60.4
6.16.5
Auto1.7
Teleop1.1
End0.8
blue by 7.8
9522
#22
11.40.2
8.38.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed