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Red54
88157.8
177138.3
95612.8
Blue17
90866.1
418817.8
17955.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343902060801001205417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.31.4
21.322.7
Auto20.5
Teleop16.7
End1.1
red by 20.5
17.82.0
14.312.3
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End0.8
Second
8815
#14DQ
7.81.4
5.77.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.2
End1.1
red by 1.7
9086
#18
6.12.0
9.17.1
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Third
9561
#19
2.80.9
4.25.1
Auto0.3
Teleop1.8
End0.7
blue by 3.0
1795
#16
5.82.0
11.69.6
Auto4.0
Teleop1.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed