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Red47
47302.8
174613.3
450926.4
Blue0
88655.7
50744.5
85770.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49190406080100470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.1
17.617.7
Auto14.6
Teleop11.2
End0.5
red by 20.7
8865
#23
5.72.3
8.05.7
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Second
13.30.1
17.017.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End0.3
red by 8.8
5074
#24
4.52.3
7.24.9
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End0.2
Third
4730
#20
2.80.1
6.36.4
Auto2.1
Teleop0.2
End0.5
red by 2.7
8577
#21DQ
0.12.3
5.53.2
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed