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Red29
510911.1
10025.6
168323.4
Blue24
947712.8
69103.6
952211.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452404060801002924

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.6
16.515.9
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End1.2
red by 10.6
9477
#17
12.80.0
9.59.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End0.9
Second
11.11.0
14.013.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End0.8
blue by 0.2
9522
#22
11.40.0
8.38.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End1.0
Third
1002
#28
5.61.0
7.46.4
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End0.3
red by 2.0
6910
#26
3.60.0
6.16.1
Auto1.7
Teleop1.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed