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Red83
450926.4
177138.3
69103.6
Blue18
241514.7
44680.3
952211.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6020040801008318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.32.7
24.427.2
Auto20.5
Teleop16.7
End1.1
red by 23.6
2415
#11
14.70.9
9.58.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End0.8
Second
26.42.7
18.421.1
Auto14.6
Teleop11.2
End0.5
red by 15.0
9522
#22
11.40.9
8.57.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.2
End1.0
Third
6910
#26
3.62.7
6.59.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.1
End0.8
red by 3.3
4468
#29
0.30.9
4.53.5
Auto0.2
Teleop-0.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed