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Red19
873614.3
10025.6
17955.8
Blue56
85770.1
126134.5
529312.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333515202530404550551956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.31.1
13.712.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End0.4
blue by 20.2
34.52.8
19.322.1
Auto14.9
Teleop18.5
End1.1
Second
1795
#16
5.81.9
11.49.5
Auto4.0
Teleop1.1
End0.7
blue by 6.9
5293
#13
12.72.8
7.610.4
Auto6.1
Teleop6.2
End0.5
Third
1002
#28
5.61.9
5.83.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End0.3
red by 5.4
8577
#21
0.12.8
3.96.7
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed