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Red22
81003.9
418817.8
50744.5
Blue30
947712.8
90866.1
68298.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27350204060801002230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.3
11.611.3
Auto5.9
Teleop11.1
End0.8
red by 5.0
9477
#17
12.80.4
9.69.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End0.9
Second
5074
#24
4.50.3
6.36.0
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End0.2
blue by 4.1
6829
#10
8.60.6
13.112.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End1.5
Third
8100
#27
3.90.3
7.16.7
Auto1.2
Teleop2.2
End0.5
blue by 2.1
9086
#18
6.10.6
7.77.1
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed