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Red76
753816.5
948012.2
168323.4
Blue29
88655.7
510911.1
95612.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions431901030506070807629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.42.7
17.019.6
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End1.2
red by 12.2
11.10.9
12.411.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End0.8
Second
16.52.7
11.314.0
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.4
red by 10.9
8865
#23
5.70.9
3.22.3
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Third
9480
#15
12.22.7
7.510.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End0.8
red by 9.4
9561
#19
2.80.6
4.74.1
Auto0.3
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned