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Red30
56085.8
174613.3
17955.8
Blue19
74705.0
241514.7
10025.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371701030506070803019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.30.1
14.914.8
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End0.3
blue by 1.5
2415
#11
14.70.2
8.68.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End0.8
Second
1795
#16
5.80.1
9.59.4
Auto4.0
Teleop1.1
End0.7
red by 0.3
1002
#28
5.60.2
3.94.1
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End0.3
Third
5608
#25
5.80.1
6.66.5
Auto2.8
Teleop2.4
End0.7
red by 0.8
7470
#12
5.00.2
5.05.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed